Thursday, September 08, 2005
Samford Offense Preview
Last week Samford defeated Edward Waters College. They are in their first year of competition at the NAIA level. Take that into mind when seeing these stats.
Quarterbacks
Samford has two QBs that are splitting time this year, Parker Gargis (5-10 185) and Jefferson Adcock (5-11 200). Both played in last weeks win over EWC, and both scored touchdowns last week, but Adcock was the starter for the game. Neither are much of a passing threat. Here are their stats from last weeks win. The third string QB, Dante Williams, also got into the action at the end of the game.
Jefferson Adcock - 4/10 (40%) for 176 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT
Parker Gargis - 6/8 (75%) for 57 yards,
Dante Williams - 5/8 (62.5%) for 69 yards, 2 TDs
Baylor's secondary is a strength of the team, giving up less than 70 yards before SMUs final drive against the Prevent defense last week. It should not be too difficult for them to contain this meager passing attack.
Running Backs
Justin Ray is the starting RB for the Bulldogs. He's got good size (5-10 210) and ran for a good average (6.1ypc) last week on 15 carries. Drew Guess (5-11 210) is the backup and got a good amount of playing time as well last week. I'll also include the quarterback rushing stats here, as that seems to be a big part of the Bulldogs offense.
Justin Ray - 15 carries for 92 yards (6.1ypc), 2 TDs
Drew Guess - 12 carries for 108 yards (9.0 ypc), 1 TD
Jefferson Adcock - 3 carries for 27 yards (9.0 ypc)
Parker Gargis - 3 carries for 13 yards (4.3ypc), 1 TD
Facing the Baylor run defense is going to be much different than facing an NAIA team. Our linebackers and safeties are going to be focused on wrapping up and bringing the runner to the ground after struggling with that last week and Samford should struggle to rush for more than 100 yards on the day.
Receivers
Samford threw for over 300 yards on EWC, and they spread the 15 completions around. No player caught more than 3 passes, and 4 players caught only one. Ossie Buchannon (6-0 202), J.T. Washington (6-1 185), Freddy Young (6-1 190), and Joe Jones (5-11 175) are the starters for Samford, who list 4 WRs and 1 TE on the starting lineup. Now obviously, they can't start 12 players, and last week, and last week Jones, Washington and Buchannon got the start. Here are the stats for Samfords receivers:
Joe Jones - 3 catches for 52 yards (17.3ypc)
Ossie Buchannon - 2 catches for 107 yards (53.5ypc)
David Lee - 2 catches for 44 (22.0ypc)
Jeff Moore - 2 catches for 21 yards (10.5ypc)
J.T. Washington - 2 catches for 17 yards (8.5ypc)
Justin Ray(RB) - 1 catches for 33 yards
Freddy Young - 1 catch for 11yards
S. Johnson - 1 catch for 9 yards
Adrian Bradley - 1 catch for 8 yards
I would look for Samford to stay with the same corp of starting WRs, and not spread the ball around as much. I would almost certainly expect to see the average yards per catch to drop as they are not able to get as much yardage after the catch. Samford will probably throw the ball more, especially if they get down early, and so Baylor fans can expect to see more passes thrown, but I don't think there will be many more completions, and certainly there should be more interceptions.
Offensive Line
When looking at our next two opponents, one thing struck me. Samford has a much bigger offensive line and more experience than Army does. Samford has a lot of size along the offensive line and will look to overpower the Baylor defensive line in this game. Here are the starters for last weeks game and their backups.
LT Pughsley, Kevin 6-4 290
Jonathan Loudermilk 6-3 265
LG Crum, Matt 6-3 302
XXXX(No backup listed) xxxxxx
C Lemmond, Graham 6-2 275
Tommy Smith 6-2 280
RG Smith, Tommy 6-2 280
Mitchell Waters 6-4 270
RT Hooper, Colby 6-4 265
Jonathan Loudermilk 6-3 265
Baylor's defensive line got good pressure against SMU last week, and I would expect more of the same. Baylor fans can count on more sacks, and more tackles for loss, and a much lower yard-per-carry average for the running game. Tommy Smith, starting RG and backup center, is a RSFR and will be facing either Micahel Gary or MT Robinson, both of whom will outweigh him by 20 pounds and will likely have much greater strength. Expect pressure up the midde and for the offensive line to wear down against our defensive tackle rotation.
I don't think that Samford will score more than 10 points this game, and I think there's a good shot they could be shutout this week, but that depends on the ability of the defense to stay focused and play with the same intensity that they played with against SMU. I believe that they will come out early and shut down the Samford offense, and as Samford slips further behind, they will go to the air more, producing turnovers. ¶ 9/08/2005
Last week Samford defeated Edward Waters College. They are in their first year of competition at the NAIA level. Take that into mind when seeing these stats.
Quarterbacks
Samford has two QBs that are splitting time this year, Parker Gargis (5-10 185) and Jefferson Adcock (5-11 200). Both played in last weeks win over EWC, and both scored touchdowns last week, but Adcock was the starter for the game. Neither are much of a passing threat. Here are their stats from last weeks win. The third string QB, Dante Williams, also got into the action at the end of the game.
Jefferson Adcock - 4/10 (40%) for 176 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT
Parker Gargis - 6/8 (75%) for 57 yards,
Dante Williams - 5/8 (62.5%) for 69 yards, 2 TDs
Baylor's secondary is a strength of the team, giving up less than 70 yards before SMUs final drive against the Prevent defense last week. It should not be too difficult for them to contain this meager passing attack.
Running Backs
Justin Ray is the starting RB for the Bulldogs. He's got good size (5-10 210) and ran for a good average (6.1ypc) last week on 15 carries. Drew Guess (5-11 210) is the backup and got a good amount of playing time as well last week. I'll also include the quarterback rushing stats here, as that seems to be a big part of the Bulldogs offense.
Justin Ray - 15 carries for 92 yards (6.1ypc), 2 TDs
Drew Guess - 12 carries for 108 yards (9.0 ypc), 1 TD
Jefferson Adcock - 3 carries for 27 yards (9.0 ypc)
Parker Gargis - 3 carries for 13 yards (4.3ypc), 1 TD
Facing the Baylor run defense is going to be much different than facing an NAIA team. Our linebackers and safeties are going to be focused on wrapping up and bringing the runner to the ground after struggling with that last week and Samford should struggle to rush for more than 100 yards on the day.
Receivers
Samford threw for over 300 yards on EWC, and they spread the 15 completions around. No player caught more than 3 passes, and 4 players caught only one. Ossie Buchannon (6-0 202), J.T. Washington (6-1 185), Freddy Young (6-1 190), and Joe Jones (5-11 175) are the starters for Samford, who list 4 WRs and 1 TE on the starting lineup. Now obviously, they can't start 12 players, and last week, and last week Jones, Washington and Buchannon got the start. Here are the stats for Samfords receivers:
Joe Jones - 3 catches for 52 yards (17.3ypc)
Ossie Buchannon - 2 catches for 107 yards (53.5ypc)
David Lee - 2 catches for 44 (22.0ypc)
Jeff Moore - 2 catches for 21 yards (10.5ypc)
J.T. Washington - 2 catches for 17 yards (8.5ypc)
Justin Ray(RB) - 1 catches for 33 yards
Freddy Young - 1 catch for 11yards
S. Johnson - 1 catch for 9 yards
Adrian Bradley - 1 catch for 8 yards
I would look for Samford to stay with the same corp of starting WRs, and not spread the ball around as much. I would almost certainly expect to see the average yards per catch to drop as they are not able to get as much yardage after the catch. Samford will probably throw the ball more, especially if they get down early, and so Baylor fans can expect to see more passes thrown, but I don't think there will be many more completions, and certainly there should be more interceptions.
Offensive Line
When looking at our next two opponents, one thing struck me. Samford has a much bigger offensive line and more experience than Army does. Samford has a lot of size along the offensive line and will look to overpower the Baylor defensive line in this game. Here are the starters for last weeks game and their backups.
LT Pughsley, Kevin 6-4 290
Jonathan Loudermilk 6-3 265
LG Crum, Matt 6-3 302
XXXX(No backup listed) xxxxxx
C Lemmond, Graham 6-2 275
Tommy Smith 6-2 280
RG Smith, Tommy 6-2 280
Mitchell Waters 6-4 270
RT Hooper, Colby 6-4 265
Jonathan Loudermilk 6-3 265
Baylor's defensive line got good pressure against SMU last week, and I would expect more of the same. Baylor fans can count on more sacks, and more tackles for loss, and a much lower yard-per-carry average for the running game. Tommy Smith, starting RG and backup center, is a RSFR and will be facing either Micahel Gary or MT Robinson, both of whom will outweigh him by 20 pounds and will likely have much greater strength. Expect pressure up the midde and for the offensive line to wear down against our defensive tackle rotation.
I don't think that Samford will score more than 10 points this game, and I think there's a good shot they could be shutout this week, but that depends on the ability of the defense to stay focused and play with the same intensity that they played with against SMU. I believe that they will come out early and shut down the Samford offense, and as Samford slips further behind, they will go to the air more, producing turnovers. ¶ 9/08/2005
